Prepare For Another Theft

Here they are, the party who screamed about George W. Bush "stealing" the 2000 and 2004 elections.

 "Democrats Ask New Jersey Secretary of State to Ignore Mismatched Signatures on Absentee Ballot Requests."

As John says, if there's an election close enough, the Democrats will steal it. Why are we letting them get away with this crap?

JASmius adds: We're talking about New Jersey, Jen.  The state where there may very well have NEVER been an honest election in its entire miserable history - or at least in the modern era.  As a matter of fact, given the Torricelli-Lautenberg switcheroo template from 2002, and how cold-cuts-esque Jon Corzine is, I'm frankly astonished that the guv didn't get pulled for a relief Donkidate.

Geraghty is fatalistic about Chris Christie's chances as well (though only very recently), but one of his emailers, who hasn't let the center-right inferiority complex overpower him, doesn't think the race will be close enough to steal:

[Rasmussen's latest] would support a four point race if the undecided voters break 2-1 for Christie which is very likely. Bottom line is that all of Rasmussen’s polls have never seen Corzine ahead, and in fact, Corzine’s best poll about ten days ago had him down one (a surge of Daggett votes brought the poll there). Daggett is now slipping in Rasmussen polls (and others). Like the FDU poll, this looks to me like a five point Christie win. A good ground game can save you a point, but not five points.

To use a baseball analogy, the Yankees lost Game 5 to Anaheim, failing to clinch the series, morale was down with the fans (especially being ahead 6-4 in the 7th).  At the end of the game the players had the correct attitude . . . they were up 3-2 and get to play the next two at home a pretty good position to be.

Look, New Jersey is a blue state that is getting only more blue as people with red state tendencies have left state. Yet two polls released today, have Christie winning by three and two. And almost every poll shows Corzine’s support has remained flat!  In addition, Corzine’s only real weapon, Daggett, is starting to see his numbers fall. Christie is facing an incumbent who has outspent him by a 3-1 margin. While these ads have driven Christie’s negatives up, Corzine has not moved. There was zero enthusiasm for Corzine when this started and twenty million bucks later, there is still zero enthusiasm.

A four to five point win is what this race is looking like . . . everything today supports that if the polling targets oversample Democrats, which is possible. While many are predicting a long night, I don’t see it.

Makes sense to me.  Using Geraghty's pre-pessimistic math, Corzine hasn't polled above 42% in any poll this year, which means that in order for him to eke out a win, the third party candidate Chris Daggett would have to draw at least 16% of the vote.  Daggett peaked at the mid-teens two or three weeks ago and has faded back into single-digits.  Meaning that in order to reach a second term, the undecideds have to break heavily - overwhelmingly - for the same incumbent polls to this day indicate is detested pretty much across the political spectrum.  Which, of course, is the diametic opposite of the norm in incumbent vs. challenger races.

Hugh Hewitt said it best: If it's not close, they can't cheat.  If Christie's up by more than a couple of points on election night, he's the next governor of New Jersey.

Want a further injection of confidence?  Exit quotheth Eeyore himself:

If New Jersey was in the bag, they probably wouldn’t be worried about the results in NY-23. The fact that they’re sending the vice president speaks volumes.

New Jerseyoids, get ready to feel the blubber....