One Week Out

A mixed bag....

 

SAFE REPUBLICAN (GOP +10 or more)

ALABAMA: SHELBY 58%, Barnes 30% (hold)

ARIZONA: McCAIN 55%, Glassman 34 (hold)

ARKANSAS; Boozman 55%, LINCOLN 34% (pickup)

FLORIDA: Rubio 44%, Crist 28%, Meek 19% (hold)

GEORGIA: ISAKSON 53%, Thurmond 38% (hold)

IDAHO: CRAPO 63%, Sullivan 24% (hold)

INDIANA: Coats 52%, Ellsworth 34% (pickup)

IOWA: GRASSLEY 55%, Conlin 37% (hold)

KANSAS: Moran 66%, Johnston 24% (hold)

LOUISIANA: VITTER 51%, Meloncon 35% (hold)

NORTH CAROLINA: BURR 54%, Marshall 34% (hold)

NORTH DAKOTA: Hoeven 72%, Potter 25% (pickup)

OHIO: Portman 57%, Fisher 34% (hold)

OKLAHOMA: COBURN 67%, Rogers 24% (hold)

SOUTH CAROLINA: DeMINT 63%, Greene 19% (hold)

UTAH: Lee 53%, Granato 31% (hold)

 

LIKELY REPUBLICAN (GOP +5-10)

MISSOURI: Blunt 51%, Carnahan 42% (hold)

NEW HAMPSHIRE: Ayotte 51%, Hodes 44% (hold)

WEST VIRGINIA: Raese 50%, Manchin 43%, (pickup)

WISCONSIN: Johnson 52%, FEINGOLD 45% (pickup)

 

LEANS REPUBLICAN (GOP +0-5)

ALASKA: Miller 35%, MURKOWSKI 34%, McAdams 27% (hold)

COLORADO: Buck 47%, BENNET 46% (pickup)

ILLINOIS: Kirk 44, Giannoulias 41% (pickup)

KENTUCKY: Paul 48%, Conway 43% (hold)

NEVADA: Angle 49%, REID 47% (pickup)

PENNSYLVANIA: Toomey 48%, Sestak 44% (pickup)

 

LEANS DEMOCRAT (Donks +0-5)

CALIFORNIA: BOXER 47%, Fiorina 45% (hold)

WASHINGTON: MURRAY 50%, Rossi 47% (hold)

 

LIKELY DEMOCRAT (Donks +5-9)

 

SAFE DEMOCRAT (Donks +10 or more)

CONNECTICUT: Blumenthal 56%, McMahon 43% (hold)

DELAWARE: Coons 53%, O'Donnell 37% (hold)

HAWAII: INOUYE 53%, Cavasso 40% (hold)

MARYLAND: MIKULSKI 54%, Wargotz 38% (hold)

NEW YORK: SCHUMER 60%, Townsend 30% (hold)

NEW YORK: GILLIBRAND 54%, DeGuardi 35% (hold)

OREGON: WYDEN 54%, Huffman 35% (hold)

 

On the bright side, John Raese in West Virginia rewidened his lead over the O-Care flip-flopping Chin, and in Mark Kirk added a handful more rocks to his side of the Illinois teeter-totter to flip his race back to a Republican pickup of Red Barry's old seat.

On the not so bright but not (yet) catastrophic side, Rand Paul's lead in Kentucky slipped from "likely" to "leaner," I have to conclude from that "Aqua Buddha" nonsense.  It was only one point, though, from six points up to five, so let's not have a cow yet.  No, let's save that for Pat Toomey face-planting six points from "safe" to "leaner," which has no discernable proximate cause, even if you try to claim "Democrat awakening" in a state where the Dark Side has a 2-1 registration advantage.  I suppose one could say that Toomey was never really going to win by double digits, though, in which case it's an adjustment to how it was always going to turn out in the end.  Yes, let's go with that.

The biggest disappointment is Rasmussen's poll out this morning several days after Linda McMahon's masterful and devastating final argument against "Hanoi Dick" Blumenthal, showing the lying dweeb zooming back to a thirteen-point lead.  I guess Connecticutters are beyond redemption AND reason.

Damn stupid WCW diehard dead-enders....

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This page contains a single entry by JASmius published on October 25, 2010 7:02 AM.

NCPA Daily Policy Digest (10/25/10) was the previous entry in this blog.

All She Was Missing Was Byrd's Sheet is the next entry in this blog.

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